Vegas Shooting Body Language Analysis - Press Conference 10/09/17

/// Disclaimer: The following is all my personal opinion.  I could be dead wrong.  But, I love to guess and then see how accurate I was in a prediction.

Since we are not getting a coherent picture from the Vegas Shooting Terrorist incident, I will pull out some big guns here and perform some body language analysis.  My background in this subject gives me the expertise level where it is rare anyone can lie to be where I do not detect the lie.  Those wishing to pursue this subject as a study need to read "What Everybody is Saying," by Joe Navarro, a former FBI interrogator.

Hints to law enforcement and anyone giving live interviews.  Body Language experts can and will notice deception and lies.  You cannot control body language, and we experts can basically read your mind right off the screens.  Yeah, it sounds unbelievable and wild, but it is true.  So, please do not be afraid in the commentary below, because the research is out there, and anyone can do this with practice and training.  Yes, we can read minds.

Analysis Footage

Takeaways and Conclusions

• Campos is a suspect
• They are disturbed at the changing of the time line where Campos is shot before the mass shooting begins
• They do not want to release much to the media for whatever reason
• Campos' story does not hold up
• The alarm from another room that Campos checked out is an important object of the investigation
• There are at least 3 shooters, and definitely more than one
• Shooters were connected with terrorist groups
• Lots A and B have disturbing findings for the investigation
• There are other important writings or documents in  the room important to the investigation
• Escape plan is important to the investigation
• some or all suspects probably escaped
• Explosives planned to be set off during event
• Someone else was in the hotel room when Paddock definitely was not inside between the 25th and the 28th
• multiple cells phones were used by several suspects
• The ATF is not popular with either guy
• Others were involved in the planning phase of the attack
• Campos knocking on door is important
• The maintenance worker is a suspect
• There is a lot of video footage the FBI agent saw, perhaps of Paddock gambling, but also perhaps of security footage.
• Behavioral analysis mentions also supports they a combing through tons of video footage (kinda like I am!)
• Paddock's girlfriend is of no consequence to the investigation
• They do not have the name of the prime suspect, or the ring leader
• Investigators are hiding important pieces of the puzzle for some reason or another

///

Analysis

The Sheriff

"I am Joe Lombardo with the Las Vegas Metropolitan Police department"  0:04

• There is an irritated blink after this statement, followed by a curled left lip.  Mentioning of the police department is making him nervous.  
• This suggests there is a problem with the police department.  Speculation: perhaps there is a conflict between the locals and the feds here.

"I'll give you some insight to where we're going with this."  0:13

• There is a noticeable pause, and sigh here.
• This suggests he has a problem where they are going with the investigation.

"Ill be happy to answer a small number of questions."

• He braces the podium at this point.
• This is a tell which is the psychological equivalent of a falling.
• Answering questions is disturbing him.

"Along with many agents from the FBI and ATF"

• Notice the sing-song tone when he says "many agents"
• Suggests sarcasm and sneering toward the feds

"updated information"

• He glares on this word.  Big problem with his updates.  Perhaps he is withholding information, or giving misleading information, or some others have done such a thing.

"Details that have been reported in the media."

• Lip curl here.  He has a problem with details reported in the media.

"We are in contact with him."

• He tripped up here, and there is a fleeting micro expression that is worthy of note
• Micro expression is left-up, suggesting Lombardo does not like what he sees here.  Visual recalled memory.

Lombardo is subtly gnashing his teeth as he describes the actions of the security guard.  

• There is something about the security guard story that Lombardo is angry about.

"His room check."

• Lombardo braces hard here, so this is disturbing to him.  We conclude that perhaps there is a problem with the room check.

"the Door alarm down the hall."

• Rolls his eyes here.  Lombardo is skeptical of the story or does not believe the story.

"In the moments before the...he was shot."

• Another strange reaction to the same incident.  
• This security guard thing is really scaring the crap out of Lombardo.
• There is genuine fear from Lombardo on this piece of the story
• Where is the fear coming from?
• Is he scared of a lie?
• Is he scared that something went terribly wrong here that if found out, he or someone he is close to will be in serious trouble?
• Body language experts need to pay close attention here!
• Clearing of the throat resembling a weeping response
• Stack of so many body language indicators here suggests something greatly disturbs the sheriff!

"An who he came in contact with during the planning phase."

• Stack of indicators here also.  
• There is a problem of who he came in contact with.

No evidence of a second shooter.

• Indicators point to this statement either being false, or the sheriff does not like the fact that there is no evidence.

"Had affiliations with any known terrorist groups or ideologies"

• very clear flash of anger here.
• Eye roll
• So, this statement is obviously suspect
• He is either giving false information or he is angry that no evidence has turned up.

"One particular event in the suspect's life to key in on."

• body language stack here suggest this statement is false, and he is not happy about it.
• Also notice the lawyerly language: "Do not believe there is one particular event"
• Lawyerly language suggesting there is more than one particular event.
• Students should study this carefully on how I can see this without almost any doubt.

Lots A and B

• A strange body language stackup here
• This suggests the Sheriff is very disturbed about findings in these two particular lots.
• This is not something to ignore
• I will say that I am almost certain there is a key point here in Lots A and B, whatever that means.

The room at Mandalay Bay

• Notice pause and lip action here.
• There is a problem here!

Associated with another individual

• body language and micro expression flash suggest he is seeing an image in him mind of another individual.
• tap of the podium reinforcing "another individual"
• Conclude that there is another individual, and he has seen him.

Went along in the suspect's mind

• Nonverbal tell that the term "went along" here, he is unconsciously meaning "went along with the suspect," but he catches himself before almost uttering this phrase.

An alarm associated with an open door...it was not the suspects open door.

• This may provide the clue as to why the Sherriff was disturbed by the story of the security guard
• Perhaps the other alarm was on the door of another suspect.
• 
  

Sherriff is very disturbed by the fact the guard was shot before the outside shooting.

• Something about this is freaking Lombardo out.

Are there any other numbers or writings in the room...

• he says "I am not aware of any," then, "I am not personally aware of any."
• body language and wording suggest there are indeed other writings found in the room.
• note lawyerly language, trip-up, redirection, etc.

Disturbing body language incident here.  Begins at 12:26

• Sheriff is very disturbed
• mentions some inaccuracies of what he previously said which is a Freudian slip.
• Freudian slip saying that Campos is a suspect.
• "I don;t want to say the suspect's name," so we will call him the suspect."
• This is so obvious as to conclude that Campos is a suspect
• Freudian slips at this point are so obvious as to conclude that Campos is a suspect, and perhaps Paddock may not be a suspect due to lack of escape plan.
• Definitely doubts the Paddock escape plan
• This would support that Paddock was murdered

I also conclude based on this (begin 13:04) mass confusion of will bubbling up emotions in the Sheriff, that there were other incidents bringing first responders to the incorrect location, and allowing someone to escape.  Bullet points possibility based on Freudian slips, confusion, and his high stress:

• many other shooters - more than 2
• someone escaped, or several escaped
• campos was likely involved, and probably took the shot at the fuel tanks.  Maybe.
• suggests also that Campos was found with additional things like body armor, etc.

We do not know if he intended to cause additional harm

• I am almost certain this is a false statement based upon his level of disturbance and the conflict of body language.

The explosives were not set up to detonate with a trigger

• pause suggests that the explosives were indeed set up to detonate, perhaps with other means.

They were not aware of him being shot until after they met him in the hallway

• Flash of clear anger here
• I am getting more and more convinced this Campos has something to do with this.

Between the 25th and the 28th.

• body language suggest the Sheriff knows that someone else was in the room during those dates.
• suggests a setup of Paddock from someone else.

If he doesn't have a name, then nobody can relate to him

• ouch!  So, they do not have the name of the prime suspect!
• Students must always pay attention to Freudian slips that come up continually, under the guise of another sony being told subconsciously.

Multiple cell phones question

• he looks to the FBI agent for permission to say
• So, there are multiple people involved in the operation

FBI Guy

"Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department"

• tensing of lips suggest there is a conflict between the locals and the Feds.

Some insight to where we are going with the investigation

• lips tensing again suggest he has a problem here.

Since our last briefing

• same repsonse suggests a problem with the last briefing

ATF Agents

• subtle eye movement here I cannot decode

More updated information

• Head jerk here after subtle eye clench
• problems with the information
• disturbing information indicated by jerk - perhaps surprising information

One more piece of the puzzle

• reacts here

And who he came in contact during the planning phase

• long drawn downward look here suggests something 

No evidence to indicate there was a second shooter

• guy is trying hard not to react, and you can see him clenching reaction here.

Never been seen with anyone else.

• right lip curl here

Mentioning of lots A,B,C,D

• elicits strange reactions from FBI guy and sheriff.

Drilling

• nothing released to the public about knocking, but it was an open door.
• suggests withheld information the press got hold of on the knocking part.

FBI guy is very disturbed by the question about what time Campo got his injury

• mouth open in an "oh shit" expression completely out of baseline with his sturdy demeanor.
• This is why I have said that cops are the easiest to read!
• because disturbances from the baseline are obvious.
• One second watch, the FBI guys is very, very disturbed by this question.

Time line explanation of change

• This is freaking out FBI guy

Alarm associated with an open door..it was not the suspect's open door, it was another's.

• FBI guy is holding in explosive emotions here
• head jerk on "why mr campos was near that door"
• This is a key point of disturbance for FBI guy!

Delay in his reporting

• FBI guy subtly rolls his eyes.  Way above baseline behavior, so this is also important.
• Something wrong with the story right here
• supports something very wrong with Campos part of the story.

Any other writings

• FBI guy looks up and right, which suggests visual recollection
• this is way off baseline as he typically looks down-left and down-right.
• so, there is almost certainly other writings found that are important.

Any delay in his reporting

• Okay, this is a lot of tells on this point
• So, there is something wrong with the Campos guy that is disturbing them both

Maintenance worker

• another strong tell from FBI guy way off baseline.
• highly likely the maintenance worker was involved in the event
• clenched lips and a hint of anger here.

He was gambling the night before

• FBI guy's eyes are wriggling from side to side
• He is likely mentally recalling watching some video image of someone gambling, perhaps Paddock

Paddock's girlfriend

• no reaction suggests there is nothing to this part of the story

If he doesn't have a name, nobody can relate to him

• FBI guy nods to this
• suggest they do not know the prime suspect or important suspects

Recombing evidence

• lip clench here

In the valley and where he was going

• FBI guy's imagination kicks in and he is recalling something here of some importance.

Electronic equipment

• strong head nod here.
• probably another important point

A lot of hidden pieces to this puzzle

• FBI guy goes into a trance here and is lost in  thought, and does not hear the beginning at least of the next question.
• suggests they are deliberately hiding pieces, for whatever reason.
• A trance is an important observation
• loss of focus upon the present moment
• triggered by the sentence