Thursday, September 18, 2014

Sunk Cost Effect: Staying in the Game when you should Leave



Sunk Cost Effect: Staying in the Game when you should Leave



The Sunk Cost Effect is perhaps the nastiest thing about human nature that I can think of.

It is why people stay in cults.  It is why people stay in bad relationships.  It is why people stay in dead-end careers.  It is why people cannot “let go of the past.”  It is why wars get nasty beyond any human reasoning.


The greatest fear is the haunting question in your mind, “So, I did all of that for nothing?”  So, you joined a cult.  You shaved your head, and wear strange clothing.  You alienate all of your family and friends by saying this cult is the greatest thing in the world.  You spent tons of money supporting this cult.  So, now you have these feelings.  You want to leave.  But, you would feel like a fool if you did.  All that money and time would go down the drain.  So, you redouble your efforts and become more stubborn in your defense of the cult because you have so much invested.


Or, you have been involved in war.  You know 300 guys who have gotten killed.  You do not want them to have died in vain, right?  So, you keep the war going in the remote chances of winning.  The United States was driven out of Iraq, and it is now under control of a hostile regime.  We spent 3 trillion dollars on that war.  We do not want to have wasted all the lives of those men and all that money right?  So, we will probably go back in and spend another 10 trillion, get bankrupted, and kill perhaps just as many soldiers again.


Now, you understand the idea of sunk costs and how devastating its psychology can be on people, groups of people, and entire nations.


Freddy Martini

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